There were rumors reported that former LNP QLD state leader and Mp for Nanango Deb Frecklington had interest in standing in Blair in May. The LNP have very very very little organisational support, money and volunteers in the region while Labor have an entrenched network of branches and support across all of Ipswich and Springfield. The Regional population 2020 2021 Financial Year report, released this week, highlights Ripley, in Blairs south, growing by 19.4% an estimated 1,889 additional residents in a pandemic year. @ Ben, tell me what seats in Qld the Coalition will be picking up? There is a reason I believe this is vulnerable because 6% isnt safe. DEMOGRAPHICS. Id have this as the best chance for a Liberal pickup in QLD, probably more than Lilley or Moreton. Hayden held the seat until 1988, serving as Health Minister 1972-75, Treasurer 1975, Opposition Leader 1977-83 and Foreign Minister 1983-88. The Most Interesting Articles, Mysteries and Discoveries. Mr McMillen will be pitted against Labor MP Milton Dick, who has held the seat of Oxley since 2016 and has a margin of 6.4 per cent. Tournament DriveBrookwater, Queensland, Australia. Elected Official of the Australian Labor Party (Qld) from 2000 to 2008. Conversely Malcolm, while you cant see any likely scenario where Labor loses Blair, I believe that it is perhaps LNPs best chance at an LNP gain in QLD. The date change was necessitated by court order. The current division is the second to bear the name, and was created in 1949. Elected women to key state and local executive offices. Wont that diminish the main electoral threads ? Greater Springfield Chamber of Commerce might have other events you're interested in. But on Twitter, discussions by candidates around the country have focused on a number of issues - with race and . Strewths sources say Peter Dutton, Stuart Robert and Karen from Home Affairs are still waiting for the green light to go home when parliament rises on Thursday. Realistically its the outer suburbs of Brisbane and the Queensland inner regions that Labor will have the best chance of gains and increasing their majority. Neumann is one of Labors worst MPs. Pauline Hanson repeatedly run for election after losing her seat in 1998, and finally returned to parliament as a senator in 2016. 2022 Federal Election Candidates Forum - Oxley Election results in Oxley at the 2019 federal election How ridiculous & completely absurd We are keeping this article about the First Edition for transparency purposes. The ensuing by-election was won by the ALPs Les Scott. The big question this election is how much damage has Morrison done by stepping up his dog whistling over recent years, Chinese friends of mine are far too angry at him to even listen to any policy positions. Booths have been divided into three areas. are you a VICTORIAN, or some other sub-species. Kathleen Irene (Oxley) Wiggins. cheers WD Wednesday, May 4, 2022 (5:30 PM - 8:00 PM), All-in-one CRM Software for Growing Communities, https://stfbridalhairandmakeup.simdif.com/. Hayden resigned in 1988 to take the post of Governor General, serving in the office until 1995. Those that had been made redundant were disillusioned. Dianne Stokes Candidate #2 for the Senate. Polls dont decide elections voters do. Hawke failed to win a ballot in 1982. Share sensitive information only on official, secure websites. They would have to do very poorly in Queensland to be in trouble here. Do i fucking sound like a HACK ? information from their registration forms and may be running in different districts than in the past. Blair has been a Labor seat which does not draw its Labor seat from the archetypal progressive, urban Labor voter, it has instead come from a rapidly evapourating unionised blue-collar base. This is a rural-urban hybrid seat, on the outer suburban fringes. I agree some of my predictions are far fetched I admit that but you cannot day in all consciousness that the way the ALP is going under Albo that they are even competitive. Dick is on of those Treasurers that struggles with basic arithmetic, then you realise the shocking truth ::(of the two) he is the smart one !. It includes all of the Inala housing estate and the nearby newer estates of Forest Lake and Springfield, as well as the Centenary Suburbs of Middle Park, Mount Ommaney, Jindalee and Sinnamon Park. WHEN HAVE I EVER SOUNDED LIKE ANYONE WHO WOULD BE PART OF ANY political PARTY ???. Most of the marginals here in QLD swung more than 6% so if we see swings like that again across SEQLD Dick is in trouble. Expect 80% of QLD seats to be called within 2 hours of polls closing. Whether these deals actually serve the nation more broadly is another thing. My concern for Blair, is that we cannot afford another term by Shayne Neumann. And yet a group of football WAGS flew into the Sunshine State on a charter flight from Sydney on Monday. The federal MP for Oxley is Milton not his brother Cameron and I question the relevance of this. Web: jamesmcgrath.com.au Email: [email protected] Phone: 07 5441 1800 Address: Tenancy A, 2-4 Mitchell Street, Nambour QLD 4560 Post: PO Box 772, Nambour QLD 4560. He joined Gough Whitlams ministry in 1972, and served as Treasurer for the final five months of the Whitlam government in 1975. [1] Why do we have problems with the Murray-Darling system running dry, and dryland salinity? Oxley is located in south east Queensland, and covers the south western suburbs of Brisbane . Two more points to consider to add the Observers points. Election funding Electoral law backgrounders Authorising electoral communication Learn about elections Delivering an election Managing the electoral roll Altering electoral divisions Determining ballot paper order Planning voting services Counting the votes Voting and the Government The three levels of government When elections are held On the other hand Albaneses centrist small target approach and campaigning on jobs seems to be landing well with anyone I speak with in QLD (even though I find it weak and wish hed push for meaningful progressive reforms). There needs to be a leader who is prepared to call time on cretins. Following the 2020 Census, some states may redraw their districts. The area is a solid mix between traditional working class Labor voters and center left Labor voters. . 2. Both of these industries were heavily unionised throughout much of the 20th century, the strong connection between Labor and the unions was a healthy pipeline of votes directly to Labor from their blue-collar base. I would NEVER be so mild !. 1. Our People Toggle. An official website of the United States government. To make a comment or suggest a change to the election site, pleasecontact us. Chris Green's campaign was due to be launched on Sunday by Liberal frontbencher Amanda Stoker on Sunday. 2022 0 145. Gladys is the best NSW premier since Neville Wran. . Aside from that I havent found Asian Australians or Chinese Australians to be conservative, if any generalisation were to be made Id say most Chinese Australians veer towards the centre, willing to support either party with good economic and social policies. Rachael Jacobs Candidate for Grayndler. People lie to the pollsters because they are afraid of telling the truth to the pollsters, and many people are getting sick of the pollsters being intrusive. It seems that Dutton will fight Labor in suburban seats and forget about the Teal/Green seats. Peter Duttons appeal in Queensland is overrated. document.getElementById( "ak_js_1" ).setAttribute( "value", ( new Date() ).getTime() ); Enter your email address to subscribe to this blog and receive notifications of new posts by email. He served as Leader of the Opposition on Council from 2012 but retired at the 2016 election after winning pre-selection for Oxley. The LNP are basically aiming to hold their own seats rather than win any Labor .Little effort going into contesting Blair,Lilley or Moreton by the LNP. Retiring MPs. (EDGAR Online via COMTEX) -- false 0001326110 0001326110 2023-02-15 2023-02-15 UNITED STATES SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION Washington, DC 20549 FORM 8-K. Hi SEQ observer. Demographic Rating: Queensland has 30 seats and is a large reason that Labor only just got over the line to majority government by their poor performance there. Let's find an outstanding local person who can take our issues and voices to Macquarie Street. FEDERAL ELECTION 2022: Full results, seats won, party votes total and . Labor really needs people like Shayne to help rebuild in QLD after going BACKWARDS a seat. Candidates are listed using @LNP Insider interesting that you flag Oxley as a location where LNP might have genuine intent in competing. The original Division of Oxley was established in 1901, and was abolished and replaced by the Division of Griffith in 1934. if Labor lose they should parachute Annastacia into this seat. I predict Coalition to win 74-78 seats. The two main industries that Ipswich was traditionally centered around was energy (think coal power-stations powering SE QLD), and transport, specifically rail (which transported coal among other things). actually it is worse. Ipswich itself has vaccination rates broadly in line with the state average (QLD has the lowest in Australia), however the fringes of Ipswich, along with the Gold Coast & Hinterland are much lower, suggesting a protest against the vaccine and more broadly Covid measures. Yes ,its certainly true that wine diamond would know all about Dicks. Two-party-preferred vote in Brisbane Candidates Tiana Kennedy ( Animal Justice) Justin Knudson ( United Australia) Stephen Bates ( Greens) Madonna Jarrett ( Labor) Trevor Evans ( Liberal National) Trevor Hold ( One Nation) Anthony Bull ( Liberal Democrats) Assessment After Bob Hawkes win, Hayden was appointed Foreign Minister. Candidates to watch: Labor MP Emma McBride and Liberal's Michael Feneley Where: This electorate covers suburbs and towns along the NSW Central Coast including The Entrance, Wyong, Tuggerah and. Queanbeyan-Palerang Regional Council countback election - 7 Feb 2023 Election of one Councillor North Sydney Council (St Leonards Ward) countback election - 21 Feb 2023 Election of one Councillor 2023 NSW State election - 25 Mar 2023 Election of the 58th Parliament of NSW See all current electionsarrow_forward For voterskeyboard_arrow_right There will be a swing to Labor here so this seat will not be in contention. The LNP are clearly dominant in Queensland at a federal level and theres obviously a perception, particularly in regional areas, that they can at least get good deals out of their Liberal partners. Please switch to another browser like Chrome, Firefox, or Edge for a better experience. Dennis Atkins reported that the LNP had faint hopes earlier in the year of winning Blair. Closely following is the People's Democratic Party candidate, Atiku Abubakar and thereafter, Peter Obi of the Labour Party. But it is understood Mr Green has resigned, to be replaced by Kyle McMillen, a former Lilley candidate and military veteran who works for defence firm Rheinmetall. Furtive Lawngnome Creating jobs, lower taxes, better health, education. Now federal senators are . I wouldnt be surprised if winediamond and Daniel are just paid LNP hacks because at least a normal, sane LNP supporter would be knowledgeable enough to know there isnt Buckleys chance of the LNP winning Oxley. Oxley in 1996 was a very different seat.it was basically what Blair is now. Labor doesnt have a huge majority but there are some Queensland seats up for grabs in 2025. The margins in most of these places make it seem like they are out of reach for the Libs but clearly their internal polling is detecting something else. from 2011 to 2018. Join us for an opportunity to get to know the candidates for the 2022 Federal Election for our Blair and Oxley electorates. Washington, DC 20463. NSW 2023 where preferences have flowed over time, Podcast #86: Introduction to the NSW election, When local council parties break into state politics, NSW 2023 rising preference flows deciding the upper house. My opinion is that Shayne Neumann will increase his vote, As the LNP candidate here, he is missing in action. I had good links to ethnic Chinese in 1970s when the Friends of Free China used the same Post Office Box as the Captive Nations Council. When there is effectively no opposition to decisions being made, there is a growing awareness that any alternatives lie outside the duopoly. or more precisely he id]s a massive sook, & cry-baby, & mamas boy !!. Electorates by alphabetical list . On a state level, Labor has increased their vote in the region and have popular members. Who are the candidates for election in 2022? Booths in Somerset local government area have been grouped together. . Its almost as if they want the very land they live on to be destroyed by poor economic, and environmental management. Dick has demonstrated why he is totally unsuitable for high office. Hayden later served as a minister in the Hawke Government before becoming Governor-General in 1989. Neumann did end up weathering the storm but it put this seat on notice. Late in the 20th century, these unions waned and the workers that largely participated in these industries entered retirement or had been made redundant and replaced with a more atomised & casualised workforce. View Original Notice? It is likelihood that One Nation and UAPs adoption of the negative sentiment surrounding Covid measures throughout the pandemic will strongly play out in SE QLD in the election. Industries: Railway workshops, industrial, light industrial and commercial activities. Notes: Two candidate preferred or TCP is a count of the two leading candidates only - votes are recorded for a particular candidate if the preference on the ballot paper for that candidate is . For the WA seats, I doubt that Moore or Canning would fall since Labor would probably reduce their resources spent in WA and focus their efforts into sandbagging Sam Lim in Tangney and Dutton will certainly do whatever he can to save his factional allies Ian Goodenough and Andrew Hastie. The rural areas here even at the 2019 were reasonably close and make up less than 30%. This overlapped with aspirational first-home buyers, priced out of other parts of Australia, who were attracted to the more affordable housing developments in abundance throughout the outer suburban fringes. The polls are off by 2-3% and they over estimate Labor so its much closer than you think. . Labor might have even been able to capitalise on the popularity of QLD state Labors handling of the pandemic going into the election. Oxley straddles the boundary between Brisbane and Ipswich city councils in the south-west of greater Brisbane. The seat of Oxley was created as part of the expansion of the House of Representatives at the 1949 election. Also may I point out here 7/10 people have never heard of him either. Mr Green's campaign Facebook page and website have been taken down. Seriously what is your problem (s) ? Also in terms of specifically Moreton, alot of the seat lines up with state seats with very solid Labor support (and strengthening). Electors enrolled: 104,214 (at 10.6.2019). Well we all know who is going to win this fight Mother Dick !!. Leave a bequest. ", Mr Green's name has since been removed, with the page now stating: "Hear from Sen. Amanda & Sen. Scarr about how you can become involved in the federal campaign. After first being held by the Liberal Party for a decade, it has almost always been won by the ALP, except for the 1996 election, when it was won by disendorsed Liberal candidate Pauline Hanson, who later formed the One Nation party. Official websites use .gov Suburbs include Redbank, Forest Lake, Richlands, Durack, Inala, Jamboree Heights and Jindalee. Come along and support our LNP Candidate for Oxley as we launch the Oxley campaign. Booth results map Activate. Electorate profile. Create secure local jobs by investing in Fee-Free TAFE and more university places, and make your job more secure with better pay and conditions. Firstly of course no community and no ethnic group is a monolith, theres a huge variety of views. ANCESTRY. Learn how to enable Javascript in your browser. Federally funded infrastructure projects that should have been completed years ago, are still in the design and/or consultation process due to incompetence and lack of urgency for communities affected by these required projects. The directive says pollies can come back from the Canberra Bubble by air only, if and when their (hard) border pass application is approved. I am interested in watching the rise of the minor parties in this electorate, and others. District maps on this page are approximate. https://amp.theguardian.com/environment/2021/dec/31/carbon-bomb-queensland-reveals-big-jump-in-land-clearing, NSW 2023 where preferences have flowed over time, Podcast #86: Introduction to the NSW election, When local council parties break into state politics, NSW 2023 rising preference flows deciding the upper house. Select 'Find your electorate'. McDermott was part of . Joint Standing: Electoral Matters served from 15.9.2016 to 11.4.2022; Joint Statutory: Broadcasting of Parliamentary Proceedings served as Chair from 26.7.2022 to present; Party positions. The pandemic and its effect on Blair might feed back into the overall disillusionment in job-security and prospects. Gideon has designed and led programs including Information . Campaign Director of the Australian Labor Party State Branch (Qld.) The Victorian ALP is pretty unpopular, but any negative press is still good press against whatever will be left of the Victorian Libs. Some candidates subsequently amended their registration forms to reflect new district numbers. Also state politics (excluding the effects of the personalities of Miles and Dick) will play a key role and while the state Liberal government was doing well in NSW, the recent far-too-late lockdown could prove costly in seats like Reid, which have been marginal for a long time. This was done to ensure each electorate has roughly . Australian Federal Election 2022 Michelle Hood February 17, 2022 2022 is an election year, will you be showing up to vote 1 for One Nation? Labor needs to make inroads in outer suburbs of Brisbane and the inner regions of Queensland because there really is not much territory else where to go. He is the brother of Queensland Treasurer and Minister for Trade and Investment, Cameron Dick. Some candidates may subsequently amend their registration forms to reflect new district numbers. Is that really necessary ? Select the 'Find online' button. Crime scene visits by juries Senator James McGrath. He will still remain a wanker regardless of how many times, & how many people vote for him !. On May 10, 2022, the state of New York changed the primary election date for U.S. House of Representatives candidates from 06/28/2022 to 08/23/2022. Id say Dutton as leader probably would help them retain the regional and outer-suburban QLD seats like Flynn, Longman, Petrie and Dickson and possibly gain Blair and Lyons from Labor but thats about it. Federal politicians were understandably peeved last week when they learnt via text that Queensland Premier Annastacia Palaszczuk had banned them from returning home until September 8. No more so than Labor MP Milton Dick, who just happens to be the younger brother of Queensland Treasurer Cameron Dick. Jane Anlezark Candidate for the Senate. [1] https://amp.theguardian.com/environment/2021/dec/31/carbon-bomb-queensland-reveals-big-jump-in-land-clearing. Federal MPs. With the ballot papers already printed with the Liberal Partys name attached to Hanson, she gained a high profile and managed to win the seat with a large swing. Ill also make a few points that address John, Sharyn and Engadine. Dick actually believes that he is ENTITLED to receive individual special treatment !.Dick cannot accept that HE IS NOT ENTITLED. Liberal candidate Cameron Thompson came third on primary votes, but overtook the ALP on Nationals preferences and then overtook Hanson on Labor preferences. When Australians head to the polls they will vote for their preferred party candidate for their federal area. Appreciate you sharing! The 2022 Labor candidate is Rebecca Fanning,. State govt only survived on the covid vote. Very confident of a landslide for the LNP. If PHON gets higher Primary vote than the LNP, PHON could gain the seat from LNP preferences taking it off Labor. I would have thought as a Labor cheerleader that you would have had some interest in getting rid of timeservers, & lackeys ? Now it's our turn in Oxley. Avica, 153 Gooding Drive, Merrimac, QLD 4226. This contrasts with the pre Whitlam era where the great bulk of ethnic Chines voters were supporters of Taiwan. And then lost the next primary election, largely because voters didn't like that she made it easier for "children to disobey their parents". With a rare QLD leader of the ALP, I wasnt thinking 2013 was a high water mark for LNP in QLD, but it was in NSW. Ipswich may have an LNP aligned mayor but she is also a moderate and importantly ran as an Independent with a lot of support from other centrist candidates due to the appalling alternative. Hanson contested the new seat of Blair, which now covered Ipswich, which had previously been included in Oxley. Join us as we hear from all the local candidates in the running to be the Federal Member for Oxley at this year's election. Those booths in the City of Ipswich have been divided into four parts. I dont think Scott Morrison has done any campaigning here. Labor are the only party that ever get anything done, LNP, Greens, One Nation, and UAP. It is named after colonial explorer and surveyor John Oxley. Despite coming first on primary votes, Hanson lost due to the ALP and Liberal Party swapping preferences. Thanks you are a good mate. The teals and Greens seats arent likely going to be won by Labor now they have got them. I also believe that the Chinese Australian community of Moreton (the largest in Queensland) are a conservative leaning community (economically and socially), especially as they have become more established and affluent. The WA and QLD L/NP parties are also not cutting through (as opposed to 2019) and the only seats which are definitely safe are seats like Cook, Kennedy and Clark, where the local member is so entrenched they wont lose until they retire, resign or die. Aston and Menzies are probably at high marks for Labor though. A Des Moines Register analysis of decisions from the 2021-2022 term found that Oxley wrote or joined in the majority decision in 97 of 105 cases, more than any other justice. Labor have dominated this area on a state level, and Milton Dick in Oxley is a great member and is very visible across both electorates. The composition of this population growth throughout the pandemic was not international migration, it was interstate migration from NSW and Victoria who had lept at the opportunity to make their dream move to QLD. Results 1983-2019. Ive set up a generic election open thread to go up in the morning. Election night will likely be a shocker again and the coalition are being underestimated. House of Representatives
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